Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 4.443930 4.781613 5.150312 5.586182 6.091987 6.666347 7.376648
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.999860 4.435134 4.937734 5.571385 6.364944 7.349813 8.706926
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.695706 4.196379 4.801263 5.606731 6.687159 8.148278 10.405625
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.452080 3.998974 4.685911 5.646617 7.021683 9.050026 12.609405
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.322243 3.927995 4.720298 5.888894 7.690529 10.648915 16.845700
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.051608 3.648374 4.446597 5.660286 7.616577 11.057388 19.246118
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.927186 3.552295 4.414295 5.782014 8.134637 12.741310 26.519564
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.801705 3.443433 4.351885 5.848988 8.585200 14.558172 38.233952
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.628867 3.254791 4.154563 5.671370 8.550036 15.305231 48.956820
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.464133 3.066944 3.943150 5.445026 8.377359 15.663384 60.662894
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.435898 3.073998 4.029169 5.742155 9.366285 20.111948 214.762278
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.491432 3.208690 4.330762 6.491130 11.731712 34.222006 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.363419 3.070030 4.196536 6.435219 12.235645 43.388232 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.233556 2.919649 4.028852 6.286579 12.449278 53.285235 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.130038 2.803874 3.910475 6.225426 12.949937 73.504416 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.039892 2.703376 3.809708 6.187869 13.558597 115.176166 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.990195 2.664636 3.815824 6.398669 15.326358 528.122309 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.879574 2.519032 3.613011 6.078006 14.695998 691.631120 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.827008 2.466568 3.579393 6.168447 16.060329 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.772379 2.407128 3.527052 6.203727 17.277814 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.694497 2.304186 3.382998 5.976015 16.891590 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.617561 2.199564 3.229382 5.704616 16.124084 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.603861 2.201949 3.284444 6.006674 19.292367 NaN NaN